Am I a maaaaaaaaaaaaan or am I a blogger (am I a blogger)?
Makeup
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part Two
The Iron Lady
Will Win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part Two
Should Win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part Two
Fantasy usually wins this category, though the makeup jobs in all three are memorable. Consider Lady a spoiler.
I’d be happy to see any of these win, but the transformations in Nobbs and Lady are focused on the main character, whereas a host of makeup creations inhabit the Potter universe, most notably He Whose Nose Shall Not Be Seen.
Costume Design
Anonymous
The Artist
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.
Will Win: The Artist
Should Win: The Artist
Normally, I would go with the notion that the Academy likes frilly, and favor Anonymous or Jane Eyre. But I have a feeling that Old Hollywood will out.
I don’t know why, but the costumes in The Artist just felt right. And since Ryan Gosling’s bad-ass scorpion jacket from Drive can’t win…
Art Direction
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
War Horse
Will Win: Hugo
Should Win: Hugo
The Art Directors Guild honored Harry Potter and Hugo in the Fantasy and Period categories respectively (which is interesting because you could make an argument for Hugo being fantasy). And while I think the Academy might be looking for ways to honor the Harry Potter series as a whole (which is part of why I’m favoring it over Lady in Makeup), I think the momentum of “most nominated” will put Hugo over the top.
Hugo made better use of 3D than most films, and part of that had to do with the Art Direction. The interior of that clock alone is worth a win.
Music (Original Score)
The Adventures of Tintin
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Will Win: The Artist
Should Win: The Artist
BAFTA, Critics’ Choice, and Golden Globes agree. Best Music = The Artist. Not exactly a tough pick. That’s pretty much the only sound in the movie.
And I agree. For the movie to work, the music has to work. And the movie really, really works.
Music (Original Song)
“Man or Muppet” from The Muppets
“Real in Rio” from Rio
Will Win: “Man or Muppet”
Should Win: “Man or Muppet”
The rules surrounding the choice of best song (section IV-C) nods indicate that there’s a threshold of votes a song needs to get to be nominated. If only one eligible song gets enough votes, then the song with the next most votes gets nominated as well, just to, you know, make it a race. We don’t know which of these two (or if only one) got enough votes, but I have a guess.
“Real in Rio” is a perfectly fine song. But “Man or Muppet” has all the great song structure and lyrical wit songwriter Bret McKenzie brought to the best Flight of the Conchords tunes. It actually reminds me how strong their songs were even if you discount the humor.
Foreign Language Film
Bullhead
Footnote
In Darkness
Monsieur Lazhar
A Separation
Will Win: A Separation
Should Win: A Separation
Where this gets tricky is the fact that the best-known foreign-language film ain’t necessarily the most likely to win. In some cases (Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon; The Sea Inside) being nominated in another category seems a boon, in others (Biutiful, Amelie) it doesn’t help. Here, I just can’t think of anything else that’s on the radar, but A Separation‘s Best Original Screenplay nod could work against it here. At least Critics’ Choice and BAFTA have also signed off on it.
I haven’t really seen any of these, and the only other comparably lauded foreign flick from 2011 is The Skin I Live In, which ain’t nominated.
Next: Admit it. When you saw the Real Steel trailer you thought to yourself, “This is just a cynical play for an Oscar.”







































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