The most half-assed of my many half-assed predictions this year will come in these notoriously hard to predict categories…
Short Film (Animated)
Adam and Dog
Head over Heels
Maggie Simpson in “The Longest Daycare”
Will Win: Paperman
Should Win: Paperman
I once again had the pleasure of watching all of the Oscar-nominated animated shorts with Dr. Wife (this time for Valentine’s Day) and while they were all good (Longest Daycare was the funniest The Simpsons has been in years), this one is clearly sweeter and more endearing than the rest. Not saying that’s what the Academy always values, but it’s kind of hard to ignore in this case.
Funnily, all of the shorts this year are silent (well, no dialogue, anyway) and so the visual storytelling on display is bar none. But in the end Paperman displays a confident visual style and economy of storytelling that just makes it stand out for me (although Daycare is a close second).
Short Film (Live Action)
Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw)
Will Win: Curfew
Should Win: Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw)
Death of a Shadow just looks badass.
Documentary Short Subject
Mondays at Racine
Will Win: Open Heart
Should Win: Kings Point
Just going with the oddsmakers again because I have no idea.
I don’t know, I just like the scale of the project in Kings Point.
5 Broken Cameras
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man
Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
Should Win: The Invisible War
A BAFTA and Critic’s Choice win on top of six critics circle wins make this a pretty easy pick.
Haven’t seen Searching, to be fair, but Invisible War is quite simply necessary viewing.
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
Will Win: Skyfall
Should Win: Argo
First off, this is a completely unpredictable category. Oddsmakers like Zero Dark Thirty, but I don’t because it’s the one film here not nominated by the guild actually devoted to sound editing for their annual awards. Next best odds are for Skyfall.
Not sure if this falls under Sound Editing or Sound Mixing, but the way in which period music is heard in Argo is consistent with the stereo systems available at the time. In other words, it doesn’t sound pristine. It sounds like it’s coming out of a late 70′s/early 80′s hi-fi system, and I think that’s a brilliant touch.
Life of Pi
Will Win: Les Miserables
Should Win: Les Miserables
The whole point of Les Mis, from a singing standpoint, is that the actors were recorded live. This award is all about the live recording.
That experiment did not work for everyone. It totally worked for me.
Next: Anna Kareninapalooza