I got a good response the last time I decided to self-check my prognostication skillz, so I’ve decided to do it again. This time we look at a year ago this week, when Tyler Perry was releasing a film starring an Academy-nominated actress and…well, I’m sure some things were different about last year.
The main lesson we’ll learn is that teaming two popular actors (Pitt/Clooney, De Niro/Pacino) or a whole mess of actresses (Ryan/Bening/Messing/Pinkett Smith/Mendes) can’t overcome an overcrowded weekend.
The Women
My Prediction: $35 million
Actual Gross: $27 million
As I predicted, Women failed to cash in on the popularity of Sex and the City earlier that year, a vibe it tried to emulate in the marketing. Turns out I was a little optimistic.
Burn After Reading
My Prediction: $75 million
Actual Gross: $60 million
I overestimated the appeal of Pitt and Clooney by 25% of the actual gross, but it was still the Coen Bros.’ biggest open ever, and second-highest grosser after No Country for Old Men.
Tyler Perry’s the Family That Preys
My Prediction: $56 million
Actual Gross: $37 million
See what happens when there’s no Madea?
Righteous Kill
My Prediction: $57 million
Actual Gross: $40 million
I finally saw this on cable and you know what? It’s not that good. It’s not that bad, either. It’s just kind of there. But what really hurt here was a ridiculously overcrowded weekend.
Comments