February 5, 2012

How’d I Do?

So, I make these predictions.  Sometimes I’m right.  Sometimes I’m wrong.  But I’ve rarely sat down and actually checked.  So let’s go back to the weekend of August 3, 2007 and see if my predictions for box office rang true.  All gross figures are for domestic theatrical, rounded to the nearest million.

Underdog

My Prediction:$50 million

Actual Gross: $44 million

Managed to balance a crowded family-friendly time frame with the fact that people love talking animals.

El Cantante

My Prediction: $26 million

Actual Gross: $8 million

Do you remember this film?  J-Lo and Marc Anthony in a film together for the first time ever?  Nothing?  Yeah, people weren’t paying attention then either.  Even less than I imagined they would.

The Bourne Ultimatum

My Prediction: $167 million

Actual Gross: $227 million

I expected Rush Hour 3, which came out the following week, to present a bit of a challenge, but I didn’t think I was lowballing much.  The Bourne Supremacy had made $176 million, so that’s probably why I went with a conservative figure.  This is one of those cases where I’m glad to be wrong.  Movie rocked.

Hot Rod

My Prediction: $20 million

Actual Gross: $14 million

And keep in mind, Andy Samberg was even hotter then.

Bratz

My Prediction: $33 million

Actual Gross: $10 million

This is one of those cases where my cynicism about good things happening to bad films overreacted.  Yes, Bratz dolls had a following, but it wasn’t that big.

Becoming Jane

My Prediction: $2 million

Actual Gross: $19 million

I will never underestimate Anne Hathaway again.  Although you gotta be happy that a movie about Jane Austen did almost double the business of Bratz.

The Ten

My Prediction: $2 million

Actual Gross: $1 million

A little over $750,000 actually.  Just not that many State fans out there, I guess.

Comments

  1. Leia says:

    More like this please!

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