Slighly Less Uselessly Early Oscar Punditry

December 17, 2009 |  Filed under: Blog |  Comments (0)

With many more critics circles chiming in, here’s how things are shaping up:

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Early Locks

Best Director – Kathryn Bigelow will be the first woman to win this award.

Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz will be the first…let’s say Austrian…to win this award.  (OK, I was totally guessing when I wrote that, but it turns out that, yes, the man is from Vienna.)

Best Supporting Actress – Mo’Nique has this pretty much sewn up, but any other year this is Anna Kendrick’s statue.

Original Screenplay – Chalk up another one for Tarantino.

Adapted ScreenplayUp in the Air’s best shot at an Oscar.

Best Doc – Still pissed that Anvil didn’t make the cut, but even if it had, The Cove would still be the film to beat.

Best AnimatedUp, but Fantastic Mr. Fox will make Pixar work for it.

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Tight Races

Best Picture Hurt Locker vs. Up in the Air, with a slight edge for Locker.

Best Actor – A hot three-way with George Clooney, Colin Firth, and Jeff Bridges

Best Actress – And starring Carey Mulligan as The Actress Who Gets to Go Up Against Meryl Streep This Year

Best Foreign – Well, if anybody had bothered to submit Sin Nombre and Summer Hours, it’d be all about them.  As that never happened, I have no idea.

Best Cinematography – The grit of Hurt Locker vs. the black and white beauty of The White Ribbon.

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