Slighly Less Uselessly Early Oscar Punditry
With many more critics circles chiming in, here’s how things are shaping up:
Early Locks
Best Director – Kathryn Bigelow will be the first woman to win this award.
Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz will be the first…let’s say Austrian…to win this award. (OK, I was totally guessing when I wrote that, but it turns out that, yes, the man is from Vienna.)
Best Supporting Actress – Mo’Nique has this pretty much sewn up, but any other year this is Anna Kendrick’s statue.
Original Screenplay – Chalk up another one for Tarantino.
Adapted Screenplay – Up in the Air’s best shot at an Oscar.
Best Doc – Still pissed that Anvil didn’t make the cut, but even if it had, The Cove would still be the film to beat.
Best Animated – Up, but Fantastic Mr. Fox will make Pixar work for it.
Tight Races
Best Picture – Hurt Locker vs. Up in the Air, with a slight edge for Locker.
Best Actor – A hot three-way with George Clooney, Colin Firth, and Jeff Bridges
Best Actress – And starring Carey Mulligan as The Actress Who Gets to Go Up Against Meryl Streep This Year
Best Foreign – Well, if anybody had bothered to submit Sin Nombre and Summer Hours, it’d be all about them. As that never happened, I have no idea.
Best Cinematography – The grit of Hurt Locker vs. the black and white beauty of The White Ribbon.
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